AI Match Insights

2. Bundesliga Oct 23, 2021

FC Schalke 04

Home
VS
18:30

Dynamo Dresden

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
FC Schalke 04 Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Dynamo Dresden Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.59 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.3 Position gap: 15 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Schalke 04 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Dynamo Dresden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (5%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
FC Schalke 04 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 FC Schalk… vs SC Paderb… 0-1
Aug 28 FC Schalk… vs Fortuna D… 3-1
May 12 FC Schalk… vs Hertha Be… 1-2
Jan 02 FC Schalk… vs Hertha Be… 3-0
Sep 05 FC Schalk… vs VfL Bochum 3-0
May 27 FC Schalk… vs Fortuna D… 2-1
Dynamo Dresden Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 03 Dynamo Dr… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Feb 06 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Augsbu… 0-1
Jan 23 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 4-3
Oct 10 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Augsbu… 1-0
Sep 18 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 0-1
Aug 21 Dynamo Dr… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Aug 21 Dynamo Dr… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Jun 18 Dynamo Dr… vs Holstein … 2-0
Jun 15 Dynamo Dr… vs Arminia B… 4-0
Jun 09 Dynamo Dr… vs SpVgg Gre… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Schalke 04 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dynamo Dresden in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

ELITE: FC Schalke 04 to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
FC Schalke 04 Power 56
Dynamo Dresden Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Schalke 04 Position

+15

Position Gap

16

Dynamo Dresden Position

Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.