AI Match Insights
2. Bundesliga Nov 11, 2023
SC Paderborn 07
HomeVS
12:00
FC Nurnberg
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
SC Paderborn 07 Win
Draw
FC Nurnberg Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.77 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.3
Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Paderborn 07 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Nurnberg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
SC Paderborn 07 Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 05 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Karlsruheā¦ | 0-3 |
| Sep 29 | SC Paderbā¦ vs FC Schalkā¦ | 3-1 |
| Sep 02 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Holstein ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Aug 19 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Fortuna Dā¦ | 1-2 |
| May 28 | SC Paderbā¦ vs FC Nurnbeā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Holstein ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Hannover ā¦ | 3-4 |
| Feb 03 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Fortuna Dā¦ | 4-1 |
| Jan 27 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Karlsruheā¦ | 0-1 |
| Dec 09 | SC Paderbā¦ vs Hannover ā¦ | 1-0 |
FC Nurnberg Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 04 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs FC Schalkā¦ | 1-2 |
| Oct 06 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs VfL Wolfsā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs FC Augsbuā¦ | 1-0 |
| Sep 30 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs Bayer Levā¦ | 6-0 |
| Sep 16 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs Werder Brā¦ | 1-5 |
| Sep 15 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs SpVgg Greā¦ | 1-1 |
| May 28 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs SC Paderbā¦ | 0-1 |
| May 12 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs FC Augsbuā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 31 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs SV Darmstā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | FC Nurnbeā¦ vs SpVgg Greā¦ | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- SC Paderborn 07 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- FC Nurnberg struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2023 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 - 1 | FC Nurnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | FC Nurnberg | 2 - 1 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 15, 2022 | FC Nurnberg | 1 - 2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 30, 2021 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2 - 2 | FC Nurnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 04, 2021 | FC Nurnberg | 2 - 1 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2. Bundesliga |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: SC Paderborn 07 to win (53% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1
53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
SC Paderborn 07 Power
46
FC Nurnberg Power
32
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
4
SC Paderborn 07 Position+5
Position Gap9
FC Nurnberg Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.