AI Match Insights

2. Bundesliga May 28, 2023

SC Paderborn 07

Home
VS
13:30

FC Nurnberg

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
SC Paderborn 07 Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
FC Nurnberg Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Paderborn 07 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Nurnberg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
SC Paderborn 07 Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 SC Paderb… vs Holstein … 1-1
Feb 11 SC Paderb… vs Hannover … 3-4
Feb 03 SC Paderb… vs Fortuna D… 4-1
Jan 27 SC Paderb… vs Karlsruhe… 0-1
Dec 09 SC Paderb… vs Hannover … 1-0
Nov 13 SC Paderb… vs FC Nurnbe… 2-1
Aug 20 SC Paderb… vs Holstein … 7-2
Aug 06 SC Paderb… vs Hannover … 4-2
Jul 22 SC Paderb… vs Fortuna D… 2-1
Jul 17 SC Paderb… vs Karlsruhe… 5-0
FC Nurnberg Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Augsbu… 2-2
Mar 31 FC Nurnbe… vs SV Darmst… 0-1
Feb 04 FC Nurnbe… vs SpVgg Gre… 1-0
Jan 10 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Schalk… 0-1
Nov 20 FC Nurnbe… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-6
Nov 13 FC Nurnbe… vs SC Paderb… 2-1
Nov 06 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Augsbu… 1-2
Sep 17 FC Nurnbe… vs SV Darmst… 2-0
Jul 23 FC Nurnbe… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-0
May 15 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Schalk… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Paderborn 07 in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Nurnberg struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 13, 2022 FC Nurnberg 2 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2022 FC Nurnberg 1 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Jul 30, 2021 SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga
Apr 04, 2021 FC Nurnberg 2 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SC Paderborn 07 to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Paderborn 07 Power 46
FC Nurnberg Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

SC Paderborn 07 Position

+5

Position Gap

9

FC Nurnberg Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.