AI Match Insights

2. Bundesliga Nov 13, 2022

FC Nurnberg

Home
VS
12:30

SC Paderborn 07

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
FC Nurnberg Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
SC Paderborn 07 Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.14 - 1.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.5
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Nurnberg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
SC Paderborn 07 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
FC Nurnberg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Augsbu… 1-2
Sep 17 FC Nurnbe… vs SV Darmst… 2-0
Jul 23 FC Nurnbe… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-0
May 15 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Schalk… 1-2
Apr 09 FC Nurnbe… vs SV Darmst… 3-1
Jan 15 FC Nurnbe… vs SC Paderb… 1-2
Dec 10 FC Nurnbe… vs FC Schalk… 4-1
Oct 29 FC Nurnbe… vs SV Darmst… 2-0
Jul 30 FC Nurnbe… vs SC Paderb… 2-2
Apr 04 FC Nurnbe… vs SC Paderb… 2-1
SC Paderborn 07 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 20 SC Paderb… vs Holstein … 7-2
Aug 06 SC Paderb… vs Hannover … 4-2
Jul 22 SC Paderb… vs Fortuna D… 2-1
Jul 17 SC Paderb… vs Karlsruhe… 5-0
Apr 24 SC Paderb… vs Hannover … 3-0
Apr 10 SC Paderb… vs Karlsruhe… 2-2
Mar 12 SC Paderb… vs Fortuna D… 1-1
Mar 04 SC Paderb… vs Holstein … 3-4
Feb 18 SC Paderb… vs FC Schalk… 2-0
Jan 15 SC Paderb… vs FC Nurnbe… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Paderborn 07 in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • FC Nurnberg struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2022 FC Nurnberg 1 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Jul 30, 2021 SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga
Apr 04, 2021 FC Nurnberg 2 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Nurnberg Power 32
SC Paderborn 07 Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

FC Nurnberg Position

-5

Position Gap

4

SC Paderborn 07 Position

Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.