AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 13, 2024

Santa Fe

Home
VS
21:10

Atlético Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Santa Fe Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Atlético Nacional Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.36 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Santa Fe Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 25 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 1-1
Mar 16 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 1-1
Mar 09 Santa Fe vs Fortaleza… 2-0
Mar 04 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 0-1
Feb 26 Santa Fe vs Chico 1-2
Feb 22 Santa Fe vs Junior 3-0
Feb 18 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 1-0
Feb 14 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 1-0
Feb 07 Santa Fe vs Bucaraman… 0-1
Nov 08 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 0-1
Atlético Nacional Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 27 Atlético … vs Jaguares 2-0
Mar 17 Atlético … vs Chico 2-1
Mar 03 Atlético … vs Junior 0-0
Feb 04 Atlético … vs Rionegro … 0-3
Jan 28 Atlético … vs America d… 4-1
Dec 06 Atlético … vs Millonari… 0-1
Dec 03 Atlético … vs Independi… 0-5
Nov 30 Atlético … vs America d… 0-1
Nov 26 Atlético … vs America d… 1-0
Nov 24 Atlético … vs Millonari… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Fe in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2023 Atlético Nacional 3 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
May 12, 2023 Santa Fe 0 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Fe Power 0
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Santa Fe Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Atlético Nacional Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.