AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A May 12, 2023

Santa Fe

Home
VS
01:00

Atlético Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Santa Fe Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atlético Nacional Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.09 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Santa Fe Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 2-0
Apr 27 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 3-1
Apr 16 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 2-2
Apr 10 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 3-1
Apr 01 Santa Fe vs Chico 1-0
Mar 19 Santa Fe vs Junior 1-1
Mar 09 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 1-2
Nov 28 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 5-1
Nov 23 Santa Fe vs Junior 2-3
Nov 13 Santa Fe vs Junior 0-0
Atlético Nacional Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Atlético … vs Chico 3-1
Apr 10 Atlético … vs Junior 0-1
Feb 04 Atlético … vs Jaguares 2-1
Sep 11 Atlético … vs Jaguares 0-1
Aug 19 Atlético … vs Junior 1-1
Jul 29 Atlético … vs Junior 3-0
Jul 14 Atlético … vs Junior 3-1
Jun 16 Atlético … vs Junior 2-1
May 22 Atlético … vs Junior 1-1
Mar 18 Atlético … vs Jaguares 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Fe Power 0
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Santa Fe Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Atlético Nacional Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.