AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Oct 06, 2024

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
20:00

La Equidad FC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Independiente Medellin Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
La Equidad FC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.02 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Independiente Medellin Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Independi… vs Junior 2-0
Sep 22 Independi… vs Deportes … 0-1
Sep 11 Independi… vs Junior 2-0
Sep 09 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Aug 05 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jul 28 Independi… vs Junior 0-0
Jul 23 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Jul 19 Independi… vs Millonari… 1-1
Jul 07 Independi… vs Alianza W 1-2
Jul 03 Independi… vs Atlético … 1-2
La Equidad FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 La Equida… vs America d… 0-0
Sep 28 La Equida… vs Bucaraman… 0-1
Sep 26 La Equida… vs America d… 2-0
Aug 10 La Equida… vs Deportes … 5-1
Jul 23 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Jun 10 La Equida… vs Junior 4-3
May 26 La Equida… vs Alianza W 4-2
May 23 La Equida… vs Deportes … 3-0
May 20 La Equida… vs Millonari… 3-1
May 18 La Equida… vs Deportes … 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Medellin struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • La Equidad FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 23, 2024 La Equidad FC 1 - 2 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Jul 15, 2023 Independiente Medel… 2 - 2 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 16, 2023 La Equidad FC 2 - 1 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Aug 05, 2022 Independiente Medel… 1 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Jun 17, 2022 La Equidad FC 1 - 5 Independiente Medel… Primera A
May 21, 2022 Independiente Medel… 2 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Medellin Power 0
La Equidad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Independiente Medellin Position

-12

Position Gap

5

La Equidad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.