AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jul 15, 2023

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
21:00

La Equidad FC

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Independiente Medellin Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
La Equidad FC Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.63 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Independiente Medellin Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 17 Independi… vs Millonari… 2-1
Jun 12 Independi… vs America d… 0-1
May 29 Independi… vs America d… 2-0
May 21 Independi… vs Millonari… 2-2
May 14 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Apr 13 Independi… vs Deportivo… 3-0
Apr 09 Independi… vs Millonari… 2-1
Apr 01 Independi… vs Deportes … 1-1
Feb 16 Independi… vs La Equida… 2-1
Nov 30 Independi… vs Deportivo… 0-0
La Equidad FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Apr 19 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-1
Mar 14 La Equida… vs Deportes … 1-0
Feb 16 La Equida… vs Independi… 2-1
Feb 12 La Equida… vs America d… 1-1
Oct 08 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-1
Aug 28 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Aug 22 La Equida… vs Deportes … 1-1
Aug 16 La Equida… vs America d… 0-0
Aug 05 La Equida… vs Independi… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Medellin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2023 La Equidad FC 2 - 1 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Aug 05, 2022 Independiente Medel… 1 - 1 La Equidad FC Primera A
Jun 17, 2022 La Equidad FC 1 - 5 Independiente Medel… Primera A
May 21, 2022 Independiente Medel… 2 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Medellin Power 0
La Equidad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Independiente Medellin Position

-12

Position Gap

5

La Equidad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.