AI Match Insights
Primera A Feb 16, 2023
La Equidad FC
HomeVS
01:00
Independiente Medellin
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
La Equidad FC Win
Draw
Independiente Medellin Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
84%
Market
50%
Combined: 46%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 1.39
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
0-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
La Equidad FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12 | La Equida… vs America d… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | La Equida… vs Jaguares | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | La Equida… vs Deportivo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 22 | La Equida… vs Deportes … | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | La Equida… vs America d… | 0-0 |
| Aug 05 | La Equida… vs Independi… | 1-1 |
| Jun 17 | La Equida… vs Independi… | 1-5 |
| Jun 09 | La Equida… vs Deportes … | 1-0 |
| May 21 | La Equida… vs Independi… | 2-0 |
| Apr 17 | La Equida… vs Jaguares | 1-0 |
Independiente Medellin Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 0-0 |
| Nov 06 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Independi… vs Deportes … | 0-1 |
| Aug 05 | Independi… vs La Equida… | 1-1 |
| Jul 22 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 2-2 |
| Jun 17 | Independi… vs La Equida… | 1-5 |
| May 21 | Independi… vs La Equida… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Independi… vs La Equida… | 2-0 |
| Jan 30 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 2-0 |
| Sep 03 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 1-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 05, 2022 | Independiente Medel… | 1 - 1 | La Equidad FC | Primera A |
| Jun 17, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 1 - 5 | Independiente Medel… | Primera A |
| May 21, 2022 | Independiente Medel… | 2 - 0 | La Equidad FC | Primera A |
| Feb 12, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 2 - 0 | Independiente Medel… | Primera A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: La Equidad FC to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
La Equidad FC Power
0
Independiente Medellin Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
La Equidad FC Position+12
Position Gap17
Independiente Medellin Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.