AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Aug 05, 2022

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
22:45

La Equidad FC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Independiente Medellin Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
La Equidad FC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.36 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Independiente Medellin Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Jun 17 Independi… vs La Equida… 1-5
May 21 Independi… vs La Equida… 2-0
Feb 12 Independi… vs La Equida… 2-0
Jan 30 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Sep 03 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-3
La Equidad FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 17 La Equida… vs Independi… 1-5
Jun 09 La Equida… vs Deportes … 1-0
May 21 La Equida… vs Independi… 2-0
Apr 17 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Feb 26 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Feb 12 La Equida… vs Independi… 2-0
Sep 20 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 05 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Feb 18 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-1
Oct 29 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Medellin in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • La Equidad FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 17, 2022 La Equidad FC 1 - 5 Independiente Medel… Primera A
May 21, 2022 Independiente Medel… 2 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Medellin Power 0
La Equidad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Independiente Medellin Position

-12

Position Gap

5

La Equidad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.