AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jun 17, 2022

La Equidad FC

Home
VS
00:30

Independiente Medellin

Away
AI Predictions 54.0% Confidence
La Equidad FC Win
54.0%
Draw
23.2%
Independiente Medellin Win
22.8%
Home Win (54% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.69 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.4 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
La Equidad FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 09 La Equida… vs Deportes … 1-0
May 21 La Equida… vs Independi… 2-0
Apr 17 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Feb 26 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Feb 12 La Equida… vs Independi… 2-0
Sep 20 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 05 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Feb 18 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-1
Oct 29 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 3-2
Oct 21 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 1-2
Independiente Medellin Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Independi… vs La Equida… 2-0
Feb 12 Independi… vs La Equida… 2-0
Jan 30 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Sep 03 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • La Equidad FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 21, 2022 Independiente Medel… 2 - 0 La Equidad FC Primera A
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: La Equidad FC to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
La Equidad FC Power 0
Independiente Medellin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

La Equidad FC Position

+12

Position Gap

17

Independiente Medellin Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.