AI Match Insights

Primera A May 21, 2022

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
22:15

La Equidad FC

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Independiente Medellin Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
La Equidad FC Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.92 - 1.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 1.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Independiente Medellin Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Independi… vs La Equida… 2-0
Jan 30 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Sep 03 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-3
La Equidad FC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Feb 26 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Feb 12 La Equida… vs Independi… 2-0
Sep 20 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 05 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Feb 18 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-1
Oct 29 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 3-2
Oct 21 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 1-2
Sep 25 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • La Equidad FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 12, 2022 La Equidad FC 2 - 0 Independiente Medel… Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente Medellin Power 0
La Equidad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Independiente Medellin Position

-12

Position Gap

5

La Equidad FC Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.