AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 12, 2022

La Equidad FC

Home
VS
21:05

Independiente Medellin

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
La Equidad FC Win
38.0%
Draw
26.4%
Independiente Medellin Win
35.6%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.15 - 0.92
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
La Equidad FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 La Equida… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 05 La Equida… vs Jaguares 1-0
Feb 18 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-1
Oct 29 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 3-2
Oct 21 La Equida… vs Cúcuta De… 1-2
Sep 25 La Equida… vs Jaguares 2-0
Independiente Medellin Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Sep 03 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • La Equidad FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: La Equidad FC to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
La Equidad FC Power 0
Independiente Medellin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

La Equidad FC Position

+12

Position Gap

17

Independiente Medellin Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.