AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tocantinense Feb 04, 2024

Tocantinópolis

Home
VS
19:00

Araguaína

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Tocantinópolis Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Araguaína Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.92 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.9
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tocantinópolis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Araguaína Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Tocantinópolis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Tocantinó… vs Bela Vist… 1-1
Feb 25 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 0-0
Mar 26 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 1-2
Mar 20 Tocantinó… vs União Cac… 0-1
Feb 26 Tocantinó… vs Bela Vist… 3-1
Araguaína Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Araguaína vs Capital 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tocantinópolis to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tocantinópolis Power 0
Araguaína Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.