AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Süper Lig Dec 09, 2023

Antalyaspor

Home
VS
10:30

Fatih Karagümrük

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Antalyaspor Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Fatih Karagümrük Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.96 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.9 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Antalyaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Fatih Karagümrük Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Antalyaspor Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Antalyasp… vs Rizespor 2-1
Dec 06 Antalyasp… vs Halide Ed… 3-0
Dec 06 Antalyasp… vs Adana Dem… 1-0
Nov 26 Antalyasp… vs Rizespor 0-0
Nov 25 Antalyasp… vs İstanbuls… 2-1
Nov 19 Antalyasp… vs 76 Iğdır … 2-0
Nov 12 Antalyasp… vs Boluspor 2-3
Nov 10 Antalyasp… vs Trabzonsp… 2-1
Nov 06 Antalyasp… vs Kocaelisp… 1-0
Nov 05 Antalyasp… vs Besiktas 3-2
Fatih Karagümrük Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 19 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 0-2
Oct 06 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 2-1
Aug 20 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 0-2
Apr 29 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 0-1
Apr 23 Fatih Kar… vs Galatasar… 3-3
Mar 19 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 2-2
Jan 22 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Jan 18 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 2-2
Dec 16 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 2-3
Nov 06 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Antalyaspor in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2023 Antalyaspor 2 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Apr 29, 2023 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 1 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Jan 22, 2023 Antalyaspor 2 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Dec 16, 2022 Antalyaspor 2 - 3 Fatih Karagümrük Friendlies Clu…
Nov 06, 2022 Antalyaspor 4 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Aug 07, 2022 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 4 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
May 22, 2022 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 1 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Feb 13, 2022 Antalyaspor 3 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Dec 26, 2021 Antalyaspor 1 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Sep 21, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 0 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Antalyaspor to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Antalyaspor Power 0
Fatih Karagümrük Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Antalyaspor Position

+5

Position Gap

18

Fatih Karagümrük Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.