AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Apr 15, 2023

Skenderbeu Korce

Home
VS
13:00

Korabi Peshkopi

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Skenderbeu Korce Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Korabi Peshkopi Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.63 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Skenderbeu Korce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Korabi Peshkopi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Skenderbeu Korce Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Skenderbe… vs Lushnja 2-0
Dec 20 Skenderbe… vs Besa Kava… 0-0
Nov 14 Skenderbe… vs Korabi Pe… 2-1
May 21 Skenderbe… vs FK Kukesi 1-0
May 14 Skenderbe… vs Laci 1-2
May 04 Skenderbe… vs Kastrioti… 2-0
Apr 10 Skenderbe… vs Tirana 0-4
Mar 20 Skenderbe… vs FK Kukesi 1-1
Mar 03 Skenderbe… vs Kastrioti… 1-0
Jan 23 Skenderbe… vs FK Kukesi 1-0
Korabi Peshkopi Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Korabi Pe… vs Lushnja 3-2
Mar 04 Korabi Pe… vs Besa Kava… 1-0
Feb 06 Korabi Pe… vs Apolonia … 1-1
Dec 11 Korabi Pe… vs Burreli 1-1
Nov 14 Korabi Pe… vs Skenderbe… 2-1
Oct 16 Korabi Pe… vs Lushnja 4-1
Sep 03 Korabi Pe… vs Apolonia … 0-0
May 23 Korabi Pe… vs Apolonia … 3-2
Mar 19 Korabi Pe… vs Burreli 0-0
Mar 07 Korabi Pe… vs Pogradeci 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Skenderbeu Korce struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 14, 2022 Korabi Peshkopi 2 - 1 Skenderbeu Korce 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Skenderbeu Korce to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Skenderbeu Korce Power 0
Korabi Peshkopi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Skenderbeu Korce Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Korabi Peshkopi Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.