AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Aug 04, 2024

HNK Hajduk Split

Home
VS
19:00

NK Slaven Belupo

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
HNK Hajduk Split Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
NK Slaven Belupo Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.85 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
NK Slaven Belupo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
HNK Hajduk Split Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 HNK Hajdu… vs NK Lokomo… 2-5
May 19 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 2-1
May 12 HNK Hajdu… vs Istra 1961 1-1
May 05 HNK Hajdu… vs NK Varažd… 0-1
Apr 20 HNK Hajdu… vs NK Slaven… 0-1
Apr 07 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
Apr 03 HNK Hajdu… vs Dinamo Za… 0-1
Mar 30 HNK Hajdu… vs Dinamo Za… 0-1
Mar 16 HNK Hajdu… vs NK Lokomo… 1-2
Mar 09 HNK Hajdu… vs HNK Rijeka 0-3
NK Slaven Belupo Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 4-0
May 18 NK Slaven… vs Dinamo Za… 2-3
May 04 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 4-1
Apr 26 NK Slaven… vs Istra 1961 3-0
Apr 20 NK Slaven… vs HNK Hajdu… 0-1
Apr 06 NK Slaven… vs NK Varažd… 0-1
Mar 16 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 0-1
Mar 10 NK Slaven… vs Dinamo Za… 5-2
Feb 25 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
Feb 16 NK Slaven… vs Istra 1961 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • HNK Hajduk Split in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • NK Slaven Belupo struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Feb 11, 2024 HNK Hajduk Split 4 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Oct 27, 2023 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 HNK Hajduk Split HNL
Aug 13, 2023 HNK Hajduk Split 3 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: HNK Hajduk Split to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HNK Hajduk Split Power 0
NK Slaven Belupo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

HNK Hajduk Split Position

+4

Position Gap

6

NK Slaven Belupo Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.