AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 24, 2022

Kelty Hearts

Home
VS
13:00

Dunfermline

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Kelty Hearts Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Dunfermline Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.86 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Dunfermline Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (35%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Kelty Hearts Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 3-0
Oct 29 Kelty Hea… vs Dunfermli… 2-1
Sep 17 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 2-1
Aug 20 Kelty Hea… vs Dunfermli… 0-0
Jul 19 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 2-3
Mar 26 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 1-0
Mar 08 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 0-1
Nov 20 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 2-0
Aug 28 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 1-4
Jul 24 Kelty Hea… vs Arbroath 3-2
Dunfermline Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Dunfermli… vs Arbroath 1-5
Dec 03 Dunfermli… vs Queen of … 1-1
Oct 29 Dunfermli… vs Kelty Hea… 2-1
Sep 03 Dunfermli… vs Queen of … 0-2
Aug 20 Dunfermli… vs Kelty Hea… 0-0
Jul 16 Dunfermli… vs Ross Coun… 1-0
May 07 Dunfermli… vs Queen's P… 0-1
Apr 29 Dunfermli… vs Queen of … 1-2
Mar 18 Dunfermli… vs Morton 1-1
Mar 05 Dunfermli… vs Arbroath 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dunfermline in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2022 Dunfermline 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts League One
Aug 20, 2022 Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Dunfermline League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kelty Hearts to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Dunfermline Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.