AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional May 01, 2025

Marquense

Home
VS
23:30

Comunicaciones

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Marquense Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Comunicaciones Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.79 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Marquense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Comunicaciones Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Marquense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Marquense vs Malacatec… 2-0
Apr 23 Marquense vs Municipal 0-0
Apr 21 Marquense vs XelajĂş 1-0
Apr 16 Marquense vs Achuapa 1-0
Apr 05 Marquense vs Antigua G… 1-3
Apr 03 Marquense vs Comunicac… 1-2
Mar 22 Marquense vs Cobán Imp… 3-0
Mar 10 Marquense vs Mixco 1-1
Mar 02 Marquense vs Malacatec… 1-0
Feb 24 Marquense vs Municipal 0-0
Comunicaciones Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Comunicac… vs Xelajú 3-2
Apr 12 Comunicac… vs Achuapa 1-0
Apr 06 Comunicac… vs Cobán Imp… 3-2
Apr 03 Comunicac… vs Marquense 1-2
Mar 30 Comunicac… vs Antigua G… 1-1
Feb 28 Comunicac… vs Xelajú 2-1
Feb 09 Comunicac… vs Achuapa 1-1
Feb 02 Comunicac… vs Cobán Imp… 0-0
Jan 30 Comunicac… vs Marquense 1-1
Jan 25 Comunicac… vs Antigua G… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marquense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Comunicaciones in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 03, 2025 Marquense 1 - 2 Comunicaciones Liga Nacional
Jan 30, 2025 Comunicaciones 1 - 1 Marquense Liga Nacional
Sep 22, 2024 Marquense 2 - 1 Comunicaciones Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marquense Power 0
Comunicaciones Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Marquense Position

+2

Position Gap

12

Comunicaciones Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.