AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 27, 2024

Malacateco FC

Home
VS
01:00

Municipal

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Malacateco FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Municipal Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Municipal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Malacateco FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 0-2
Sep 21 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 1-0
Sep 15 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 3-1
Sep 01 Malacatec… vs Marquense 2-2
Aug 24 Malacatec… vs Mixco 0-1
Aug 11 Malacatec… vs Municipal 0-0
Aug 03 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 0-2
Apr 28 Malacatec… vs Municipal 4-0
Apr 26 Malacatec… vs Municipal 3-2
Apr 14 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 2-0
Municipal Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Municipal vs Guastatoya 1-2
Oct 19 Municipal vs Mixco 3-0
Aug 25 Municipal vs XelajĂş 0-0
Aug 21 Municipal vs Achuapa 3-0
Aug 19 Municipal vs Marquense 0-0
Aug 11 Municipal vs Malacatec… 0-0
Aug 03 Municipal vs Mixco 0-0
May 19 Municipal vs Mixco 2-0
Apr 28 Municipal vs Malacatec… 4-0
Apr 26 Municipal vs Malacatec… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Municipal in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 11, 2024 Municipal 0 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Apr 28, 2024 Municipal 4 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Apr 26, 2024 Malacateco FC 3 - 2 Municipal Liga Nacional
Apr 10, 2024 Municipal 3 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Malacateco FC Power 0
Municipal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Malacateco FC Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Municipal Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.