AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Aug 11, 2024

Municipal

Home
VS
17:00

Malacateco FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Municipal Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Malacateco FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Municipal Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Municipal vs Mixco 0-0
May 19 Municipal vs Mixco 2-0
Apr 28 Municipal vs Malacatec… 4-0
Apr 26 Municipal vs Malacatec… 3-2
Apr 10 Municipal vs Malacatec… 3-0
Apr 07 Municipal vs XelajĂş 0-2
Feb 24 Municipal vs Achuapa 4-1
Feb 18 Municipal vs Guastatoya 0-1
Jan 28 Municipal vs Achuapa 2-0
Jan 20 Municipal vs Guastatoya 5-1
Malacateco FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 0-2
Apr 28 Malacatec… vs Municipal 4-0
Apr 26 Malacatec… vs Municipal 3-2
Apr 14 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 2-0
Apr 10 Malacatec… vs Municipal 3-0
Mar 29 Malacatec… vs Mixco 0-0
Mar 23 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 2-2
Feb 24 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 3-0
Jan 27 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 4-2
Nov 19 Malacatec… vs Mixco 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Municipal in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Malacateco FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 28, 2024 Municipal 4 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Apr 26, 2024 Malacateco FC 3 - 2 Municipal Liga Nacional
Apr 10, 2024 Municipal 3 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Municipal to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Municipal Power 0
Malacateco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Municipal Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Malacateco FC Position
Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.