AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Apr 26, 2024

Malacateco FC

Home
VS
00:00

Municipal

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Malacateco FC Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Municipal Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.73 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.3
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Municipal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Malacateco FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 2-0
Apr 10 Malacatec… vs Municipal 3-0
Mar 29 Malacatec… vs Mixco 0-0
Mar 23 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 2-2
Feb 24 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 3-0
Jan 27 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 4-2
Nov 19 Malacatec… vs Mixco 3-0
Nov 02 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 4-2
Sep 10 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 0-0
Aug 05 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 1-3
Municipal Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Municipal vs Malacatec… 3-0
Apr 07 Municipal vs XelajĂş 0-2
Feb 24 Municipal vs Achuapa 4-1
Feb 18 Municipal vs Guastatoya 0-1
Jan 28 Municipal vs Achuapa 2-0
Jan 20 Municipal vs Guastatoya 5-1
Oct 28 Municipal vs XelajĂş 1-0
Sep 21 Municipal vs Guastatoya 3-1
Jul 29 Municipal vs Guastatoya 0-1
Apr 12 Municipal vs Guastatoya 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Municipal in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 10, 2024 Municipal 3 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Malacateco FC Power 0
Municipal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Malacateco FC Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Municipal Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.