AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Jun 02, 2024

River Plate

Home
VS
23:15

Tigre

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Tigre Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1 Position gap: 17 places
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Tigre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
River Plate Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 22 River Pla… vs Temperley 1-1
Apr 21 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 2-3
Apr 08 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 2-1
Mar 17 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-1
Feb 25 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 1-1
Feb 04 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 5-0
Feb 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 0-2
Dec 23 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-2
Dec 10 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-0
Nov 11 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-1
Tigre Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 0-4
May 12 Tigre vs Estudiant… 0-1
Apr 17 Tigre vs Chacarita… 1-1
Mar 29 Tigre vs Belgrano … 1-4
Mar 11 Tigre vs LanĂşs 2-3
Feb 09 Tigre vs Estudiant… 2-0
Feb 05 Tigre vs Boca Juni… 0-2
Jan 31 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 3-0
Nov 07 Tigre vs Belgrano … 0-3
Oct 27 Tigre vs LanĂşs 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigre struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2023 Tigre 0 - 1 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Aug 27, 2022 Tigre 1 - 1 River Plate Liga Profesion…
May 12, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Tigre Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

MASTER: River Plate to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
River Plate Power 0
Tigre Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

River Plate Position

+17

Position Gap

19

Tigre Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.