AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 18, 2023

Tigre

Home
VS
21:00

River Plate

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Tigre Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
River Plate Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.39 - 2.80
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%) 1-3 (8%) 0-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Tigre Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 2-2
Nov 02 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 2-3
Sep 03 Tigre vs LanĂşs 1-2
Aug 27 Tigre vs River Pla… 1-1
Jul 31 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 3-3
Jun 16 Tigre vs Boca Juni… 5-3
May 22 Tigre vs Boca Juni… 3-0
May 12 Tigre vs River Pla… 1-2
May 07 Tigre vs Boca Juni… 0-2
Mar 01 Tigre vs LanĂşs 0-0
River Plate Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 River Pla… vs Millonari… 2-0
Oct 16 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 1-2
Sep 04 River Pla… vs Barracas … 2-0
Aug 27 River Pla… vs Tigre 1-1
Jul 22 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-0
Jul 17 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-2
Jul 14 River Pla… vs Barracas … 0-3
Jul 07 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 0-0
Jun 30 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 1-0
May 12 River Pla… vs Tigre 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • River Plate in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 27, 2022 Tigre 1 - 1 River Plate Liga Profesion…
May 12, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Tigre Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigre Power 0
River Plate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Tigre Position

-17

Position Gap

2

River Plate Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.