AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina May 12, 2022

River Plate

Home
VS
00:30

Tigre

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Tigre Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.77 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 17 places
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Tigre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
River Plate Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 4-0
Nov 28 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 2-2
Aug 22 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-1
Aug 14 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-0
Tigre Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Tigre vs Boca Juni… 0-2
Mar 01 Tigre vs LanĂşs 0-0
Aug 17 Tigre vs Estudiant… 0-0
Jul 25 Tigre vs Belgrano … 0-0
Apr 03 Tigre vs Estudiant… 1-0
Mar 14 Tigre vs Belgrano … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

MASTER: River Plate to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
River Plate Power 0
Tigre Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

River Plate Position

+17

Position Gap

19

Tigre Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.