AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Oct 04, 2024

Unión Santa Fe

Home
VS
22:00

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Unión Santa Fe Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Central Cordoba de Santiago Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.69 - 1.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.7 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Unión Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Central Cordoba de Santiago Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Unión Santa Fe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Unión San… vs Lanús 1-1
Aug 09 Unión San… vs Belgrano … 1-1
Jun 07 Unión San… vs Talleres … 1-0
May 27 Unión San… vs Barracas … 2-0
May 08 Unión San… vs Los Andes 2-1
Apr 18 Unión San… vs Gimnasia … 1-2
Apr 07 Unión San… vs Belgrano … 1-2
Mar 28 Unión San… vs Lanús 2-2
Mar 19 Unión San… vs Central C… 2-2
Nov 12 Unión San… vs Belgrano … 4-1
Central Cordoba de Santiago Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Central C… vs Temperley 2-1
Aug 26 Central C… vs Banfield 0-0
Aug 21 Central C… vs Newell’s … 0-0
Jul 17 Central C… vs Estudiant… 1-2
Apr 14 Central C… vs San Loren… 0-0
Apr 02 Central C… vs Quilmes 3-1
Mar 30 Central C… vs Racing Cl… 1-3
Mar 19 Central C… vs Unión San… 2-2
Feb 27 Central C… vs Atlético … 0-0
Nov 27 Central C… vs San Loren… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2024 Unión Santa Fe 2 - 2 Central Cordoba de … Copa de la Lig…
Nov 01, 2023 Central Cordoba de … 2 - 0 Unión Santa Fe Copa de la Lig…
May 19, 2023 Central Cordoba de … 0 - 1 Unión Santa Fe Liga Profesion…
Oct 22, 2022 Unión Santa Fe 1 - 4 Central Cordoba de … Liga Profesion…
Dec 03, 2021 Central Cordoba de … 2 - 0 Unión Santa Fe Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Unión Santa Fe to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Unión Santa Fe Power 0
Central Cordoba de Santiago Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Unión Santa Fe Position

+12

Position Gap

24

Central Cordoba de Santiago Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.