AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Mar 13, 2024

EC São Bernardo

Home
VS
18:00

Rio Preto

Away
AI Predictions 67.5% Confidence
EC São Bernardo Win
67.5%
Draw
20.5%
Rio Preto Win
12.0%
Home Win (68% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.49 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
EC São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Rio Preto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
EC São Bernardo Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 EC São Be… vs Rio Preto 0-4
Mar 16 EC São Be… vs Rio Preto 3-1
Rio Preto Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 Rio Preto vs Catanduva 0-1
Feb 07 Rio Preto vs União São… 0-1
Jan 21 Rio Preto vs EC São Be… 0-4
Mar 16 Rio Preto vs EC São Be… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rio Preto struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2023 Rio Preto 0 - 4 EC São Bernardo Paulista - A3
Mar 16, 2022 EC São Bernardo 3 - 1 Rio Preto Paulista - A3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
EC São Bernardo Power 0
Rio Preto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

EC São Bernardo Position

-2

Position Gap

6

Rio Preto Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.