AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NB I Apr 06, 2025

Ferencvárosi TC

Home
VS
17:00

Ujpest

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Ferencvárosi TC Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Ujpest Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.92 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ferencvárosi TC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Ujpest Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Ferencvárosi TC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Ferencvár… vs Ujpest 3-1
Mar 30 Ferencvár… vs Diósgyőri… 1-1
Mar 09 Ferencvár… vs Debreceni… 0-1
Mar 02 Ferencvár… vs Gyori ETO… 2-2
Feb 27 Ferencvár… vs Gyori ETO… 3-4
Feb 20 Ferencvár… vs Plzen 3-0
Feb 16 Ferencvár… vs Paks 0-2
Feb 13 Ferencvár… vs Plzen 1-0
Feb 09 Ferencvár… vs Puskás Ak… 1-0
Dec 15 Ferencvár… vs Nyíregyhá… 0-1
Ujpest Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Ujpest vs Ferencvár… 3-1
Mar 09 Ujpest vs Puskás Ak… 1-1
Mar 01 Ujpest vs MTK Budap… 1-5
Feb 22 Ujpest vs Nyíregyhá… 0-0
Feb 16 Ujpest vs Zalaegers… 1-2
Dec 01 Ujpest vs Ferencvár… 0-0
Nov 02 Ujpest vs Puskás Ak… 1-1
Oct 26 Ujpest vs MTK Budap… 4-1
Oct 19 Ujpest vs Nyíregyhá… 1-0
Oct 06 Ujpest vs Zalaegers… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ferencvárosi TC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ujpest struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2025 Ferencvárosi TC 3 - 1 Ujpest Magyar Kupa
Dec 01, 2024 Ujpest 0 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC NB I
Aug 17, 2024 Ferencvárosi TC 1 - 0 Ujpest NB I
May 19, 2024 Ferencvárosi TC 2 - 0 Ujpest NB I
Feb 25, 2024 Ujpest 0 - 5 Ferencvárosi TC NB I
Oct 29, 2023 Ferencvárosi TC 3 - 0 Ujpest NB I
May 01, 2023 Ujpest 2 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC NB I
Feb 05, 2023 Ferencvárosi TC 3 - 1 Ujpest NB I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ferencvárosi TC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ferencvárosi TC Power 0
Ujpest Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Ferencvárosi TC Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Ujpest Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.