AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NB I Sep 27, 2023

Paks

Home
VS
15:45

Debreceni VSC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Paks Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Debreceni VSC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.05 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paks Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Debreceni VSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Paks Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Paks vs Ferencvár… 6-1
May 06 Paks vs Debreceni… 0-0
Apr 08 Paks vs Ferencvár… 3-2
Feb 11 Paks vs Debreceni… 2-1
Sep 10 Paks vs Debreceni… 1-0
Debreceni VSC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Debreceni… vs Diósgyőri… 3-1
Aug 21 Debreceni… vs Kisvárda 4-1
Jul 06 Debreceni… vs Kisvárda 1-0
Jul 01 Debreceni… vs Kazincbar… 3-0
May 20 Debreceni… vs Ferencvár… 1-3
May 06 Debreceni… vs Paks 0-0
Apr 14 Debreceni… vs Puskás Ak… 0-1
Mar 11 Debreceni… vs Kisvárda 0-1
Mar 02 Debreceni… vs Puskás Ak… 1-3
Feb 26 Debreceni… vs Ferencvár… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Debreceni VSC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2023 Paks 0 - 0 Debreceni VSC NB I
Feb 11, 2023 Debreceni VSC 2 - 1 Paks NB I
Sep 10, 2022 Paks 1 - 0 Debreceni VSC NB I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paks to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paks Power 0
Debreceni VSC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Paks Position

+1

Position Gap

4

Debreceni VSC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.