AI Match Insights
Veikkausliiga Sep 19, 2024
FC Lahti
HomeVS
15:00
IFK Mariehamn
AwayAI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
FC Lahti Win
Draw
IFK Mariehamn Win
Home Win
(63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.67 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.3
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Lahti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
IFK Mariehamn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (16%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
0-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
FC Lahti Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18 | FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 2-1 |
| May 12 | FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā¦ | 3-0 |
| Apr 11 | FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 4-0 |
| Feb 27 | FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 23 | FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā¦ | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā¦ | 0-0 |
| Jul 23 | FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā¦ | 0-2 |
| Jul 08 | FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jun 07 | FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 1-2 |
IFK Mariehamn Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | IFK Marieā¦ vs IF Gnistan | 2-1 |
| Aug 21 | IFK Marieā¦ vs IF Gnistan | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | IFK Marieā¦ vs FC Lahti | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | IFK Marieā¦ vs Inter Turā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jun 30 | IFK Marieā¦ vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 1-2 |
| May 26 | IFK Marieā¦ vs IF Gnistan | 1-1 |
| May 12 | IFK Marieā¦ vs FC Lahti | 3-0 |
| May 05 | IFK Marieā¦ vs Inter Turā¦ | 3-1 |
| Apr 20 | IFK Marieā¦ vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | IFK Marieā¦ vs IF Gnistan | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Lahti in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- IFK Mariehamn struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2024 | IFK Mariehamn | 0 - 0 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| May 12, 2024 | FC Lahti | 3 - 0 | IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 23, 2024 | FC Lahti | 1 - 1 | IFK Mariehamn | League Cup |
| Oct 08, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 0 - 0 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 23, 2023 | FC Lahti | 0 - 2 | IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 2 - 3 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 19, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 0 - 2 | FC Lahti | League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2022 | IFK Mariehamn | 6 - 0 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 26, 2022 | FC Lahti | 0 - 2 | IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Lahti to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FC Lahti Power
0
IFK Mariehamn Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.