AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Veikkausliiga Aug 18, 2024

IFK Mariehamn

Home
VS
15:30

FC Lahti

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
IFK Mariehamn Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
FC Lahti Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.25 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
IFK Mariehamn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
FC Lahti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
IFK Mariehamn Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 IFK Marieā€¦ vs Inter Turā€¦ 3-0
Jun 30 IFK Marieā€¦ vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 1-2
May 26 IFK Marieā€¦ vs IF Gnistan 1-1
May 12 IFK Marieā€¦ vs FC Lahti 3-0
May 05 IFK Marieā€¦ vs Inter Turā€¦ 3-1
Apr 20 IFK Marieā€¦ vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 2-1
Mar 01 IFK Marieā€¦ vs IF Gnistan 0-0
Feb 23 IFK Marieā€¦ vs FC Lahti 1-1
Feb 03 IFK Marieā€¦ vs Inter Turā€¦ 0-2
Jan 26 IFK Marieā€¦ vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 1-0
FC Lahti Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 2-1
May 12 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 3-0
Apr 11 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 4-0
Feb 27 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 3-0
Feb 23 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 1-1
Oct 08 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 0-0
Jul 23 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 0-2
Jul 08 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 0-1
Jun 07 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 1-2
Apr 16 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Lahti in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • IFK Mariehamn struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 12, 2024 FC Lahti 3 - 0 IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga
Feb 23, 2024 FC Lahti 1 - 1 IFK Mariehamn League Cup
Oct 08, 2023 IFK Mariehamn 0 - 0 FC Lahti Veikkausliiga
Jul 23, 2023 FC Lahti 0 - 2 IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga
Apr 16, 2023 IFK Mariehamn 2 - 3 FC Lahti Veikkausliiga
Feb 19, 2023 IFK Mariehamn 0 - 2 FC Lahti League Cup
Sep 18, 2022 IFK Mariehamn 6 - 0 FC Lahti Veikkausliiga
Aug 26, 2022 FC Lahti 0 - 2 IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: IFK Mariehamn to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
IFK Mariehamn Power 0
FC Lahti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.