AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Veikkausliiga Oct 08, 2023

IFK Mariehamn

Home
VS
12:00

FC Lahti

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
IFK Mariehamn Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
FC Lahti Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.85 - 1.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.3
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
IFK Mariehamn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
FC Lahti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
IFK Mariehamn Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 IFK Marieā€¦ vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 4-2
Jul 30 IFK Marieā€¦ vs Inter Turā€¦ 0-2
Jul 23 IFK Marieā€¦ vs FC Lahti 0-2
May 27 IFK Marieā€¦ vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 0-0
May 22 IFK Marieā€¦ vs Inter Turā€¦ 1-1
Apr 16 IFK Marieā€¦ vs FC Lahti 2-3
Feb 19 IFK Marieā€¦ vs FC Lahti 0-2
Feb 04 IFK Marieā€¦ vs Inter Turā€¦ 1-0
Jan 27 IFK Marieā€¦ vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 3-0
Sep 18 IFK Marieā€¦ vs FC Lahti 6-0
FC Lahti Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 0-2
Jul 08 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 0-1
Jun 07 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 1-2
Apr 16 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 2-3
Feb 19 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 0-2
Feb 08 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 5-2
Sep 18 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 6-0
Aug 26 FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā€¦ 0-2
May 17 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 3-2
May 12 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā€¦ 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Lahti in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 23, 2023 FC Lahti 0 - 2 IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga
Apr 16, 2023 IFK Mariehamn 2 - 3 FC Lahti Veikkausliiga
Feb 19, 2023 IFK Mariehamn 0 - 2 FC Lahti League Cup
Sep 18, 2022 IFK Mariehamn 6 - 0 FC Lahti Veikkausliiga
Aug 26, 2022 FC Lahti 0 - 2 IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: IFK Mariehamn to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
IFK Mariehamn Power 0
FC Lahti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.