AI Match Insights

Veikkausliiga Apr 16, 2023

IFK Mariehamn

Home
VS
15:30

FC Lahti

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
IFK Mariehamn Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
FC Lahti Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
IFK Mariehamn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Lahti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
IFK Mariehamn Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 IFK Marie… vs FC Lahti 0-2
Feb 04 IFK Marie… vs Inter Tur… 1-0
Jan 27 IFK Marie… vs HJK Helsi… 3-0
Sep 18 IFK Marie… vs FC Lahti 6-0
Aug 26 IFK Marie… vs FC Lahti 0-2
FC Lahti Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 FC Lahti vs IFK Marie… 0-2
Feb 08 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsi… 5-2
Sep 18 FC Lahti vs IFK Marie… 6-0
Aug 26 FC Lahti vs IFK Marie… 0-2
May 17 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsi… 3-2
May 12 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsi… 1-1
Mar 19 FC Lahti vs HJK Helsi… 1-0
Sep 17 FC Lahti vs Turku PS 1-1
Jul 25 FC Lahti vs Turku PS 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • IFK Mariehamn struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Lahti struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 19, 2023 IFK Mariehamn 0 - 2 FC Lahti League Cup
Sep 18, 2022 IFK Mariehamn 6 - 0 FC Lahti Veikkausliiga
Aug 26, 2022 FC Lahti 0 - 2 IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: IFK Mariehamn to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
IFK Mariehamn Power 0
FC Lahti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.