AI Match Insights

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Liga Panameña de Fútbol Oct 19, 2024

Independiente de La Chorrera

Home
VS
01:30

San Francisco FC

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Independiente de La Chorrera Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
San Francisco FC Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.82 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente de La Chorrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
San Francisco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Independiente de La Chorrera Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Independi… vs Sporting … 0-0
Aug 10 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Jul 27 Independi… vs San Franc… 1-2
Jul 23 Independi… vs Herrera 1-0
May 03 Independi… vs Herrera 1-0
Apr 27 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Apr 13 Independi… vs San Franc… 3-1
Mar 05 Independi… vs Sporting … 1-0
Feb 06 Independi… vs Herrera 1-1
Feb 03 Independi… vs San Franc… 3-0
San Francisco FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 San Franc… vs Veraguas 1-1
Aug 11 San Franc… vs Herrera 3-3
Aug 03 San Franc… vs Veraguas 1-2
Jul 27 San Franc… vs Independi… 1-2
May 03 San Franc… vs Veraguas 0-1
Apr 20 San Franc… vs Herrera 0-1
Apr 13 San Franc… vs Independi… 3-1
Feb 17 San Franc… vs Herrera 2-2
Feb 08 San Franc… vs Veraguas 2-1
Feb 03 San Franc… vs Independi… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente de La Chorrera in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 27, 2024 San Francisco FC 1 - 2 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Apr 13, 2024 San Francisco FC 3 - 1 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Feb 03, 2024 Independiente de La… 3 - 0 San Francisco FC Liga Panameña …
Oct 15, 2023 Independiente de La… 2 - 0 San Francisco FC Liga Panameña …
Jul 29, 2023 San Francisco FC 0 - 2 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independiente de La Chorrera to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente de La Chorrera Power 0
San Francisco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Independiente de La Chorrera Position

+4

Position Gap

5

San Francisco FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.