AI Match Insights

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Liga Panameña de Fútbol Feb 03, 2024

Independiente de La Chorrera

Home
VS
23:15

San Francisco FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Independiente de La Chorrera Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
San Francisco FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente de La Chorrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
San Francisco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Independiente de La Chorrera Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Dec 02 Independi… vs Sporting … 2-1
Nov 25 Independi… vs Sporting … 2-2
Oct 22 Independi… vs Deportivo… 4-0
Oct 15 Independi… vs San Franc… 2-0
Oct 08 Independi… vs Herrera 4-2
Sep 10 Independi… vs Sporting … 2-1
Jul 29 Independi… vs San Franc… 0-2
Mar 05 Independi… vs Sporting … 1-2
Nov 06 Independi… vs Sporting … 1-0
San Francisco FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 San Franc… vs Herrera 3-1
Oct 15 San Franc… vs Independi… 2-0
Jul 29 San Franc… vs Independi… 0-2
Oct 15 San Franc… vs Veraguas 1-1
Aug 09 San Franc… vs Veraguas 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente de La Chorrera in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • San Francisco FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2023 Independiente de La… 2 - 0 San Francisco FC Liga Panameña …
Jul 29, 2023 San Francisco FC 0 - 2 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independiente de La Chorrera to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente de La Chorrera Power 0
San Francisco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Independiente de La Chorrera Position

+4

Position Gap

5

San Francisco FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.