AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Mar 01, 2024

CD Olimpia

Home
VS
01:00

Lobos Upnfm

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
CD Olimpia Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Lobos Upnfm Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.54 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CD Olimpia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
CD Olimpia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 CD Olimpia vs Olancho 0-0
Jan 28 CD Olimpia vs CD Marath… 1-1
Jan 21 CD Olimpia vs Génesis 2-2
Dec 10 CD Olimpia vs Génesis 2-0
Dec 08 CD Olimpia vs Génesis 0-1
Nov 06 CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upn… 3-1
Oct 08 CD Olimpia vs Victoria 1-1
Sep 14 CD Olimpia vs Lobos Upn… 3-3
Apr 15 CD Olimpia vs Club Amér… 0-1
Apr 08 CD Olimpia vs Club Amér… 1-2
Lobos Upnfm Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 0-2
Feb 10 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 0-0
Feb 03 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 1-1
Jan 20 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 3-1
Nov 25 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 3-0
Nov 11 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 2-2
Nov 09 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 1-4
Nov 06 Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia 3-1
Oct 07 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 1-3
Sep 22 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lobos Upnfm struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2023 CD Olimpia 3 - 1 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Sep 14, 2023 Lobos Upnfm 3 - 3 CD Olimpia Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

MASTER: CD Olimpia to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
CD Olimpia Power 0
Lobos Upnfm Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.