AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 2 Apr 09, 2023

Horizonte

Home
VS
18:30

Floresta

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Horizonte Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Floresta Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.64 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Horizonte Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Floresta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Horizonte Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Horizonte vs Floresta 2-2
Jul 28 Horizonte vs Floresta 2-0
May 17 Horizonte vs Floresta 2-0
Jul 29 Horizonte vs Iguatu 0-1
Jul 25 Horizonte vs Maracanaú… 1-3
Jun 16 Horizonte vs Floresta 2-0
Floresta Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Floresta vs Horizonte 2-2
Jul 28 Floresta vs Horizonte 2-0
Jun 26 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 0-2
May 17 Floresta vs Horizonte 2-0
May 11 Floresta vs Maguary PE 2-0
Feb 03 Floresta vs Fortaleza 0-2
Nov 03 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Oct 27 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Sep 25 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 0-1
Jul 25 Floresta vs Iguatu 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 26, 2023 Horizonte 2 - 2 Floresta Cearense - 2
Jul 28, 2022 Horizonte 2 - 0 Floresta Cearense - 2
May 17, 2022 Horizonte 2 - 0 Floresta Cearense - 2
Jun 16, 2021 Horizonte 2 - 0 Floresta Cearense - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Horizonte to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Horizonte Power 0
Floresta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.