AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 2 Feb 26, 2023

Horizonte

Home
VS
18:30

Floresta

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Horizonte Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Floresta Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.34 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Horizonte Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Floresta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Horizonte Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Horizonte vs Floresta 2-0
May 17 Horizonte vs Floresta 2-0
Jul 29 Horizonte vs Iguatu 0-1
Jul 25 Horizonte vs Maracanaú… 1-3
Jun 16 Horizonte vs Floresta 2-0
Floresta Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Floresta vs Horizonte 2-0
Jun 26 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 0-2
May 17 Floresta vs Horizonte 2-0
May 11 Floresta vs Maguary PE 2-0
Feb 03 Floresta vs Fortaleza 0-2
Nov 03 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Oct 27 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Sep 25 Floresta vs Ferroviár… 0-1
Jul 25 Floresta vs Iguatu 1-0
Jul 14 Floresta vs Maguary PE 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Horizonte in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Floresta struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 28, 2022 Horizonte 2 - 0 Floresta Cearense - 2
May 17, 2022 Horizonte 2 - 0 Floresta Cearense - 2
Jun 16, 2021 Horizonte 2 - 0 Floresta Cearense - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Horizonte to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Horizonte Power 0
Floresta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.