AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Mar 17, 2024

Puerto Cabello

Home
VS
00:30

Caracas FC

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Puerto Cabello Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Caracas FC Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.04 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Puerto Cabello Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Caracas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Puerto Cabello Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Puerto Ca… vs Monagas SC 2-2
Jan 26 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 1-1
Nov 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 1-0
Oct 25 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 0-0
Sep 03 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 2-1
Jul 09 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 2-1
May 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 2-1
Mar 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 0-1
Mar 03 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 1-0
Caracas FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Caracas FC vs Deportivo… 0-0
Feb 24 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-1
Jan 26 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 1-1
Nov 25 Caracas FC vs Deportivo… 1-1
Nov 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 1-0
Oct 25 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 0-0
Aug 05 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 0-2
Jul 09 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 2-1
May 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 2-1
Apr 09 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2024 Puerto Cabello 1 - 1 Caracas FC Friendlies Clu…
Nov 08, 2023 Caracas FC 1 - 0 Puerto Cabello Primera Divisi…
Oct 25, 2023 Puerto Cabello 0 - 0 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Jul 09, 2023 Caracas FC 2 - 1 Puerto Cabello Primera Divisi…
May 08, 2023 Puerto Cabello 2 - 1 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Mar 08, 2023 Caracas FC 0 - 1 Puerto Cabello CONMEBOL Sudam…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Puerto Cabello Power 0
Caracas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Puerto Cabello Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Caracas FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.