AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Jan 26, 2024

Puerto Cabello

Home
VS
17:30

Caracas FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Puerto Cabello Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Caracas FC Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Puerto Cabello Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Caracas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Puerto Cabello Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 1-0
Oct 25 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 0-0
Sep 03 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 2-1
Jul 09 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 2-1
May 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 2-1
Mar 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 0-1
Mar 03 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 1-0
Caracas FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Caracas FC vs Deportivo… 1-1
Nov 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 1-0
Oct 25 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 0-0
Aug 05 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 0-2
Jul 09 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 2-1
May 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 2-1
Apr 09 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 2-2
Mar 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 0-1
Oct 14 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-1
Oct 07 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Caracas FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Puerto Cabello struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2023 Caracas FC 1 - 0 Puerto Cabello Primera Divisi…
Oct 25, 2023 Puerto Cabello 0 - 0 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Jul 09, 2023 Caracas FC 2 - 1 Puerto Cabello Primera Divisi…
May 08, 2023 Puerto Cabello 2 - 1 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Mar 08, 2023 Caracas FC 0 - 1 Puerto Cabello CONMEBOL Sudam…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Puerto Cabello to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Puerto Cabello Power 0
Caracas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.