AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONMEBOL Sudamericana Mar 08, 2023

Caracas FC

Home
VS
00:00

Puerto Cabello

Away
AI Predictions 44.0% Confidence
Caracas FC Win
27.5%
Draw
28.5%
Puerto Cabello Win
44.0%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.30 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caracas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Puerto Cabello Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Caracas FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-1
Oct 07 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-2
Jul 16 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 3-1
May 07 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 0-0
Puerto Cabello Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caracas FC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caracas FC Power 0
Puerto Cabello Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.