AI Match Insights

Primera División Feb 19, 2023

Zamora

Home
VS
23:30

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Away
AI Predictions 58.3% Confidence
Zamora Win
58.3%
Draw
22.3%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win
19.3%
Home Win (58% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.87 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zamora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Zamora Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Zamora vs Estudiant… 1-2
Mar 04 Zamora vs Estudiant… 2-0
Oct 22 Zamora vs Estudiant… 0-0
Estudiantes de Merida FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 Estudiant… vs Caracas FC 1-1
Oct 07 Estudiant… vs Caracas FC 1-2
Sep 14 Estudiant… vs Zamora 1-2
Jul 16 Estudiant… vs Caracas FC 3-1
May 07 Estudiant… vs Caracas FC 0-0
Mar 04 Estudiant… vs Zamora 2-0
Oct 22 Estudiant… vs Zamora 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2022 Estudiantes de Meri… 1 - 2 Zamora Primera Divisi…
Mar 04, 2022 Zamora 2 - 0 Estudiantes de Meri… Primera Divisi…
Oct 22, 2021 Zamora 0 - 0 Estudiantes de Meri… Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zamora Power 0
Estudiantes de Merida FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Zamora Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Estudiantes de Merida FC Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.