AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĆ³n Aug 14, 2024

Monagas SC

Home
VS
21:00

UCV

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Monagas SC Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
UCV Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.00 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monagas SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
UCV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Monagas SC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 25 Monagas SC vs Real Esppā€¦ 0-0
Mar 31 Monagas SC vs Puerto Caā€¦ 2-2
Feb 23 Monagas SC vs UCV 1-1
Feb 11 Monagas SC vs Real Esppā€¦ 2-1
Jan 27 Monagas SC vs Puerto Caā€¦ 2-2
Oct 06 Monagas SC vs Real Esppā€¦ 2-2
Aug 28 Monagas SC vs UCV 1-0
Mar 12 Monagas SC vs UCV 0-2
Jul 28 Monagas SC vs UCV 0-2
Apr 23 Monagas SC vs UCV 1-0
UCV Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 UCV vs Monagas SC 1-1
Aug 28 UCV vs Monagas SC 1-0
Mar 12 UCV vs Monagas SC 0-2
Jul 28 UCV vs Monagas SC 0-2
Apr 23 UCV vs Monagas SC 1-0
Sep 16 UCV vs Monagas SC 2-1
Jul 31 UCV vs Monagas SC 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • UCV struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2024 UCV 1 - 1 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Aug 28, 2023 Monagas SC 1 - 0 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Mar 12, 2023 UCV 0 - 2 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Jul 28, 2022 UCV 0 - 2 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Apr 23, 2022 Monagas SC 1 - 0 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Sep 16, 2021 Monagas SC 2 - 1 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Jul 31, 2021 UCV 3 - 0 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monagas SC Power 0
UCV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Monagas SC Position

-10

Position Gap

3

UCV Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.