AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĆ³n Mar 12, 2023

UCV

Home
VS
19:00

Monagas SC

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
UCV Win
30.0%
Draw
28.0%
Monagas SC Win
42.0%
Away Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.81 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.7 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UCV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Monagas SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
UCV Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 UCV vs Monagas SC 0-2
Apr 23 UCV vs Monagas SC 1-0
Sep 16 UCV vs Monagas SC 2-1
Jul 31 UCV vs Monagas SC 3-0
Monagas SC Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Monagas SC vs UCV 0-2
Apr 23 Monagas SC vs UCV 1-0
Sep 16 Monagas SC vs UCV 2-1
Jul 31 Monagas SC vs UCV 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monagas SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • UCV struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 28, 2022 UCV 0 - 2 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Apr 23, 2022 Monagas SC 1 - 0 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Sep 16, 2021 Monagas SC 2 - 1 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Jul 31, 2021 UCV 3 - 0 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: UCV to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UCV Power 0
Monagas SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

UCV Position

+10

Position Gap

13

Monagas SC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.