AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĆ³n Mar 10, 2024
Real Esppor Club
HomeVS
23:00
Metropolitanos FC
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Real Esppor Club Win
Draw
Metropolitanos FC Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.60 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.5
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Esppor Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Metropolitanos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%)
3-0 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Real Esppor Club Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11 | Real Esppā¦ vs Monagas SC | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Real Esppā¦ vs Metropoliā¦ | 1-2 |
| Oct 06 | Real Esppā¦ vs Monagas SC | 2-2 |
| Sep 24 | Real Esppā¦ vs Metropoliā¦ | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Real Esppā¦ vs Metropoliā¦ | 2-0 |
Metropolitanos FC Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 06 | Metropoliā¦ vs Carabobo ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Metropoliā¦ vs Carabobo ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Metropoliā¦ vs Real Esppā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 24 | Metropoliā¦ vs Real Esppā¦ | 2-2 |
| Sep 03 | Metropoliā¦ vs Puerto Caā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Metropoliā¦ vs Puerto Caā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Metropoliā¦ vs Real Esppā¦ | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Real Esppor Club | 1 - 2 | Metropolitanos FC | Friendlies Cluā¦ |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Metropolitanos FC | 2 - 2 | Real Esppor Club | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Real Esppor Club | 2 - 0 | Metropolitanos FC | Primera Divisiā¦ |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Real Esppor Club to win (61% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Real Esppor Club Power
0
Metropolitanos FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Real Esppor Club Position+5
Position Gap7
Metropolitanos FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.