AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Czech Liga Sep 16, 2023

Karviná

Home
VS
13:00

Teplice

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Karviná Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Teplice Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.70 - 1.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.4 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Karviná Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Teplice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Karviná Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Karviná vs Zlin 4-1
May 01 Karviná vs Opava 2-1
Oct 08 Karviná vs Opava 1-0
Jul 23 Karviná vs Baník Ost… 2-1
Jul 02 Karviná vs Zlin 0-2
May 14 Karviná vs Bohemians… 4-0
May 10 Karviná vs Teplice 2-2
Apr 23 Karviná vs Zlin 1-1
Apr 03 Karviná vs Bohemians… 1-1
Mar 19 Karviná vs Baník Ost… 1-3
Teplice Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 06 Teplice vs FK Jablon… 0-0
Jul 01 Teplice vs Vlašim 3-2
May 28 Teplice vs FK Jablon… 0-2
Feb 26 Teplice vs FK Jablon… 4-1
Sep 03 Teplice vs FK Jablon… 3-2
May 22 Teplice vs Vlašim 2-2
May 19 Teplice vs Vlašim 3-0
May 10 Teplice vs Karviná 2-2
May 07 Teplice vs FK Jablon… 0-1
Feb 20 Teplice vs Karviná 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Teplice in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Karviná struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 10, 2022 Karviná 2 - 2 Teplice Czech Liga
Feb 20, 2022 Teplice 1 - 0 Karviná Czech Liga
Sep 19, 2021 Karviná 1 - 1 Teplice Czech Liga
May 23, 2021 Karviná 2 - 0 Teplice Czech Liga
Jan 30, 2021 Teplice 2 - 2 Karviná Czech Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Karviná to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Karviná Power 0
Teplice Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Karviná Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Teplice Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.