AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Czech Liga Sep 19, 2021

Karviná

Home
VS
14:00

Teplice

Away
AI Predictions 55.7% Confidence
Karviná Win
55.7%
Draw
22.9%
Teplice Win
21.5%
Home Win (56% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 4.49 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Karviná Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Teplice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Karviná Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Karviná vs Plzen 2-0
Aug 14 Karviná vs Zlin 2-3
Jul 03 Karviná vs Opava 0-1
May 29 Karviná vs Baník Ost… 1-1
May 23 Karviná vs Teplice 2-0
Apr 10 Karviná vs Plzen 1-1
Apr 04 Karviná vs Zlin 1-2
Mar 14 Karviná vs Bohemians… 2-0
Feb 06 Karviná vs Opava 3-1
Jan 30 Karviná vs Teplice 2-2
Teplice Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Jul 07 Teplice vs Vlašim 3-2
May 23 Teplice vs Karviná 2-0
Jan 30 Teplice vs Karviná 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 23, 2021 Karviná 2 - 0 Teplice Czech Liga
Jan 30, 2021 Teplice 2 - 2 Karviná Czech Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Karviná to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Karviná Power 0
Teplice Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Karviná Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Teplice Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.