AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Liga Sep 17, 2023

FK Partizan

Home
VS
17:35

Radnik Surdulica

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
FK Partizan Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Radnik Surdulica Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.89 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Partizan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Radnik Surdulica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
FK Partizan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 FK Partiz… vs IMT Novi … 2-3
Aug 27 FK Partiz… vs Javor 3-1
Aug 13 FK Partiz… vs Radnicki … 2-1
May 14 FK Partiz… vs Radnički … 2-1
Mar 17 FK Partiz… vs Radnik Su… 1-2
Feb 27 FK Partiz… vs Radnički … 1-1
Feb 05 FK Partiz… vs Napredak 0-1
Oct 30 FK Partiz… vs Radnicki … 4-0
Oct 23 FK Partiz… vs Javor 3-3
Oct 20 FK Partiz… vs Napredak 1-0
Radnik Surdulica Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Radnik Su… vs TSC Bačka… 0-1
Aug 27 Radnik Su… vs Cukaricki 0-0
Aug 20 Radnik Su… vs Novi Pazar 0-0
Jul 31 Radnik Su… vs Mladost L… 0-0
May 09 Radnik Su… vs Mladost L… 2-0
May 04 Radnik Su… vs Cukaricki 0-1
Apr 06 Radnik Su… vs Novi Pazar 1-0
Apr 02 Radnik Su… vs TSC Bačka… 0-1
Mar 17 Radnik Su… vs FK Partiz… 1-2
Mar 05 Radnik Su… vs Cukaricki 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FK Partizan in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 17, 2023 FK Partizan 1 - 2 Radnik Surdulica Super Liga
Sep 18, 2022 Radnik Surdulica 0 - 2 FK Partizan Super Liga
Mar 21, 2022 Radnik Surdulica 1 - 2 FK Partizan Super Liga
Oct 17, 2021 FK Partizan 2 - 0 Radnik Surdulica Super Liga
Feb 21, 2021 FK Partizan 3 - 0 Radnik Surdulica Super Liga
Aug 15, 2020 Radnik Surdulica 0 - 2 FK Partizan Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FK Partizan to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Partizan Power 0
Radnik Surdulica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FK Partizan Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Radnik Surdulica Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.