AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Liga Aug 10, 2024

FK Crvena zvezda

Home
VS
18:00

Novi Pazar

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
FK Crvena zvezda Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Novi Pazar Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 8%
xG: 3.73 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Crvena zvezda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Novi Pazar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
FK Crvena zvezda Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 FK Crvena… vs Mladost L… 2-2
Jun 28 FK Crvena… vs Mladost L… 1-0
May 25 FK Crvena… vs Cukaricki 4-1
May 21 FK Crvena… vs Vojvodina 2-1
May 08 FK Crvena… vs Mladost L… 0-1
May 02 FK Crvena… vs TSC Bačka… 2-1
Apr 28 FK Crvena… vs Vojvodina 0-0
Mar 30 FK Crvena… vs Javor 0-3
Mar 02 FK Crvena… vs TSC Bačka… 1-3
Feb 24 FK Crvena… vs Cukaricki 3-0
Novi Pazar Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 21 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 3-2
May 24 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 2-1
May 13 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 0-1
May 07 Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … 0-1
Apr 27 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 1-4
Apr 15 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 2-2
Apr 11 Novi Pazar vs Radnički … 3-1
Apr 07 Novi Pazar vs FK Partiz… 2-0
Mar 08 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 0-1
Feb 25 Novi Pazar vs Napredak 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FK Crvena zvezda in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Novi Pazar in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2024 Novi Pazar 0 - 3 FK Crvena zvezda Super Liga
Sep 02, 2023 FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 1 Novi Pazar Super Liga
May 28, 2023 FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 2 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Mar 12, 2023 FK Crvena zvezda 5 - 1 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Sep 11, 2022 Novi Pazar 1 - 2 FK Crvena zvezda Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FK Crvena zvezda to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Crvena zvezda Power 0
Novi Pazar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FK Crvena zvezda Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Novi Pazar Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.