AI Match Insights

Super Liga Mar 12, 2023

FK Crvena zvezda

Home
VS
15:00

Novi Pazar

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
FK Crvena zvezda Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Novi Pazar Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.40 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Crvena zvezda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Novi Pazar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
FK Crvena zvezda Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 FK Crvena… vs Javor 0-2
Feb 18 FK Crvena… vs Cukaricki 3-0
Nov 10 FK Crvena… vs Cukaricki 0-2
Nov 06 FK Crvena… vs Mladost L… 2-0
Sep 11 FK Crvena… vs Novi Pazar 1-2
Aug 27 FK Crvena… vs Javor 4-1
Jul 08 FK Crvena… vs Sturm Graz 1-1
Apr 11 FK Crvena… vs Javor 1-5
Oct 25 FK Crvena… vs Javor 0-0
Novi Pazar Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Novi Pazar vs Radnički … 1-0
Mar 01 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 2-0
Feb 18 Novi Pazar vs Napredak 0-1
Feb 12 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 0-0
Oct 07 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 1-1
Sep 11 Novi Pazar vs FK Crvena… 1-2
Aug 30 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 2-0
Aug 19 Novi Pazar vs Napredak 2-1
Aug 12 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 1-3
Jun 19 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FK Crvena zvezda in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 11, 2022 Novi Pazar 1 - 2 FK Crvena zvezda Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FK Crvena zvezda to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Crvena zvezda Power 0
Novi Pazar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FK Crvena zvezda Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Novi Pazar Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.